Daily commentary about China by TIME correspondents.

China's Big Dry

Since China announced last week that it is facing the most severe drought in half a century, there are signs the situation is becoming more desperate. The government has drastically upped its emergency funding for stricken farmers to nearly $13 billion and has begun employing cloud seeding to induce rain over parched croplands. Premier Wen Jiabao, who last year was ever the man on the spot during emergencies such as the winter storms and the Sichuan earthquake, is back at it again, inspecting fields and trying his hand at irrigation.

The government plans to divert water from the Yangtze and Yellow rivers to ease the threat to nearly half China's winter wheat crop. At this point such extreme measures are unavoidable, but China can't escape the likelihood that inefficient and poorly managed irrigation has contributed to the problem. This weekend the South China Morning Post reported that some mainland experts are pointing the finger at human causes:

Qiu Weiduo, a conservation expert at a research institute under the Ministry of Water Resources, said human factors were more to blame than weather for the drought, which is threatening the country's grain harvest and has affected more than  4 million people.

"Although officials say China's water use efficiency in irrigation is about 45 per cent, it is apparently an underestimation of widespread waste in rural areas," said Mr Qiu, who also advises the Ministry of Science and Technology.

Irrigation efficiency - defined as the ratio of the water consumed by crops on an irrigated area compared with the amount diverted from the source - is less than 30 per cent on the mainland, said Mr Qiu, who cited poor infrastructure, such as reservoirs and canals, and leaking pipes.

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  • 1

    The Chinese history is a history of battling with water, especially the battle to tame the fierce Yellow River. Hundreds of thousands (if not millions) of people would perish each time when the angry river overflowed, destroying vast area of crops. In recent years, the damning flood has apparently been contained, only to be replaced by acute droughts.

    Tangible efforts are being made to bring in water from the main rivers and create artificial rains. Though the result appears to be encouraging, it is at best only a stop-gap measure – the root of the problem has not been solved.

    China ought to make every attempt to curb its emission of green-house gases. Unpredictable weather (extreme droughts and unusual heavy rainfall) could well be the result of global warming.

    The current exceptional dry season is serving a strong warning. Start now, do not procrastinate. It is better LATE than NEVER.
    (Tan Boon Tee)

  • 2

    This is a definitive proof that TIME is doing a disservice to China, and to the world. A "most severe drought in 50 years" don't just happen suddenly. It is to be a "most severe drought in 10 years", and then "20 years" , "30 years", "40 years" etc. It cannot reach the 50 years status overnight. Why didn't TIME alert China to this when it was, at the, say, "25 years" stage, which is serious enough, and therefore news worthy enough. TIME is just hiding these from the world to create an opportunity to shock and awe when it reaches the 50 years state.

  • 3

    [...] better equiped to handle such difficulties than it was in 1951. Irrigation technology is improved (though still behind developed nations), farms are more efficient, more drought-resistant strains are available and [...]

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